ADAM TOOZE

British Tanks roll through Dublin during the Irish Civil War. Most likely taken at College Green with the Bank of I… https://t.co/yOJvRj0G1N

The latest polling offers up a lot of different possibilities: https://t.co/DZ5MUeyyBl

Btw 2003 and 2008 the leveraged loan business doubled and in the decade since it has doubled again. Is this corpora… https://t.co/dGNtpeZcUd

Yemen-effect: One element of Saudi’s arms imports bill that has gone through the roof is its expenditure on bombs a… https://t.co/8HuCcma0N5

The merchants of death narrative has its limits! Saudi’s budget is twice the size of any other arms importer. Its p… https://t.co/tf0sHtKmGt

Spiralling debt service costs in the 1980s and 1990s delivered a major hit to Italy’s fiscal position. H/t… https://t.co/zgn9zxKr2l

Despite all Trump’s arm waving, US arms exports to Saudi are a tiny 0.125% of US exports: $2.94bn v. $2.35trn total… https://t.co/XVlpxzbAaK

The twenty year period in which foreigners were main buyers of US sovereign debt issuance came to an end in 2015.… https://t.co/CgmNprp6RG

As Saudi has plunged into the Gulf region arms race, its dependence on the US for imports has increased.… https://t.co/MiYG1wydfU

Trade war/New Cold War? Investors don’t seem to care. Foreign holdings of Chinese stocks&bonds stood at $462.2bn at… https://t.co/60yENoP8ZW

@adam_tooze so, if all that was spent on US arms, and you use a standard jobs supported per billion dollars of expo… https://t.co/mnnpNzR5ZJ

@DuncanWeldon Oh, the classic tree trunk lean-to … Brings huge grin to my face. Nice to know you and I will be st… https://t.co/Y0gXTOlCXf

Saudi is the world’s largest arms importer. But lets put this in perspective: its arms import budget is $7-8bn.… https://t.co/vNHn6Moub3

If India and China could achieve full coverage it would halve the world’s population without access to internet. h/… https://t.co/cRatQCrLgY

As oil production recovers in response to firming prices and sustained global demand, it is US production that has… https://t.co/Xw7KFnqPSO

The cost of staying silent on mental health – Read this brave piece about the journey from self employment and suc… https://t.co/vHxfzSI5Wx

Debt problem does not equal debt problem. Who owns EM sov debt varies spectacularly around the world: from domestic… https://t.co/Fqpw2TMufn

For all the excited talk about Africa’s cellular mobile revolution the cost of accessing internet is still painfull… https://t.co/bVPIc7MUaf

@Brad_Setser @adam_tooze Another chart Brad and I debated last year, which shows the contribution from next exports… https://t.co/A7us5r7Hz2

Diese deutschsprachige Diskussion von Crashed hat richtig Spass gemacht! Vielen Dank an @BRAVENEWEUROPE1 und… https://t.co/TxANp8srtC

To put Germany’s announcement of a ban on arms exports to Saudi in perspective, its sales are a fraction of those o… https://t.co/PkEYBjdHDo

@LBiniSmaghi HI @LBiniSmaghi a pleasure to be in touch with you. Agree about pro-cyclicality. Do you think that has… https://t.co/CLvFxcAocV

Hi @Brad_Setser in this graph on trump trade policy do I take it that the “contribution” from the import side is ac… https://t.co/7Hpfws5KB2

“You’re more likely to achieve the American Dream if you live in Denmark” https://t.co/3Lo4GAUokx

Cannot repeat this point too often: Italy’s fiscal stance since the start of the euro has been consistently tougher… https://t.co/nZOPAnNkDx

"the creation of several buffer states btw Germany & Austria-Hungary would be desirable as a means of relieving the… https://t.co/fN6MYvLdZ4

Italy’s public spending when compared to EU average is horribly skewed towards pensions and away from education.… https://t.co/elcAWrXPtV

In 1914 Kaiser’s Germany sponsored jihad and anti-imperial insurrection. Doing justice to this campaign is key to p… https://t.co/wSIH2HDTcr

Why did US Treasury miss opportunity in QE-era to lock in low rates? 2/3 of debt is of maturity of 5 years or less.… https://t.co/SlXCMjVKq4

In 2016/7 Saudi Arabia saw large capital outflow. With oil prices rising money is coming back. But it could reverse. https://t.co/K0kTrXYpvX

1961 was a challenging year for West Germany: April Eichmann trial, August Berlin Wall, November Fritz Fischer 1914… https://t.co/0TB2KFFcap

Griff Nach der Weltmacht – Bid for World Power – Fritz Fischer’s provocative title could easily be conflated with W… https://t.co/vjRTX04yPR

Cumulative probability of a recession in the next 3 years is currently 40% which puts us at a similar level as in 2… https://t.co/O5CGX59gnK

Fed tightening of monetary policy is by far the most common trigger of postwar recessions. @SoberLook… https://t.co/F7jvhtNc1L