ADAM TOOZE

RT @DAlperovitch: Like US DEFCON levels, Russia has a number of readiness levels: 1. CONSTANT 2. ELEVATED 3. MILITARY DANGER 4. FULL Pu…

RT @C_Barraud: 🇪🇺 🇷🇺 *BORRELL: HALF OF RESERVES IN RUSSIAN CENTRAL BANK TO BE FROZEN – BBG

Von der Leyen’s statement makes clear that the intention is to freeze all Russian central bank assets and transactions. twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1… twitter.com/adam_tooze/sta…

RT @joshualipsky: If accurate that Switzerland will join the economic sanctions tomorrow that is a serious blow to Moscow's dwindling econo…

Ban on transactions for Russian central bank … does that mean a comprehensive blanket ban? If so that is truly next level. twitter.com/AFP/status/149…

@nymoen_ole @inesschwerdtner Und richtig, richtig, richtig Ernst wurde es erst heute morgen. adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88… https://t.co/Rzc4WDygIZ

RT @tashecon: Ruble at 300 tomorrow? That’s what half the people expect. Vlad the Destroyer of the Russian Economy.

RT @studioincendo: At around 20:30 tonight, a glimmering light from a human chain was seen on #Hongkong Lion Rock, reportedly blessing the…

@jpkindler @inesschwerdtner Noch wichtiger und aktueller adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88…

RT @DupontIsland: @adam_tooze @samagreene @KadriLiik What makes bank runs so dangerous is that they are highly visible and therefore self-r…

RT @SeoirseThomais: Nuevo chartbook de @adam_tooze: sobre el impasse estratégico sin precedentes en el que está Putin. El probable caos fin…

When we talk about “Iran-style” sanctions on Russia, remember: Iran does not yet have nuclear weapons (that is the point). Russia is #2 nuclear power & now locked into its disastrous invasion of Ukraine. Result is truly dangerous escalation, Chartbook #88 adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88… https://t.co/jyOMA8EGgE

RT @muehlenfeld: @adam_tooze Indeed, the '38 appeasement analody did only fit for a very short time, when Putin pretended to come to secess…

@tom_wein Oh yes one should definitely resist the sociological reduction …. Don’t you think it is more like three moments, or three “forces” or something more abstract like that.

@ilikenewspapers Yeah … agreed. There are asymmetries all around the triangle. But that is one toxic element that IS so far missing from the brew. A patriotic rally in Russia would be truly nightmarish.

RT @ALanoszka: Big move by BP: BP to offload 19.75% stake in Russian state-owned oil firm Rosneft after Russia's "act of aggression in Ukr…

RT @yoshikoherrera: Good analysis from @RadioFreeTom w/ regard to nuclear provocation: "For now, the sensible, and confident, American answ…

RT @ArtyomLukin: A very new trend. Some pro-Kremlin influencers on Russian social media are beginning to argue in the new post-Ukraine real…

@tom_wein Please elaborate.

Poverty of '38 appeasement analogy is glaring: In '38 UK & Fr threatened war if Hitler actually invaded Cz. They demanded that he should negotiate. Under influence of Goering and Mussolini, HItler shrank back from war he wanted. Putin already crossed the war line last week! twitter.com/Afrogermanrepr…

RT @policytensor: @tedfertik @RyanDan77 @akarlin0 @etbadabim @RALee85 @adam_tooze @ABaerbock Just read the Chartbook. We should not focus o…

RT @Afrogermanreprt: Very smart chartbook by @adam_tooze. We have entered a very dangerous spiral of escalation, given the most recent econ…

RT @DianeSwonk: Helpful insights from @adam_tooze on sanctions and escalation. twitter.com/adam_tooze/sta…

RT @JamesAALongman: There is a really serious police presence in Moscow. I think they sense something is up. Lots of people walking in the…

RT @nbunkerauthor: Useful piece by @adam_tooze especially re: the high household indebtedness of Russians… twitter.com/adam_tooze/sta…

RT @jseldin: "We all need to be very sober….this is combat" per senior US defense official "It's not wholly predictable"

RT @x_delcourt: "We have nothing that tells us how Putin’s nuclear-armed regime reacts under this kind of financial pressure, when it is al…

RT @KadriLiik: At this point I’d put my money on further escalation, including nuclear threats. Truce and domestic fragmentation both less…

In last few days we have been debating logic of sanctions. Yesterday’s joint announcement on SWIFT/CB is full of holes, but it is sure to induce a financial panic in Moscow on Monday … into what is now a nuclear escalation. Chartbook #88 @MESandbu adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88… https://t.co/WPiszJPW8k

The dramatic escalation of Ukraine crisis illustrates with horrifying force the logic of the Clausewitzian trinity of popular passion, diplomacy and battlefield realities. Forgive my playing fast and loose Clausewitz nerds. Chartbook #88: adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88… https://t.co/Sg9S4qHIGF

RT @gilliantett: This indeed is the terrifying question as shock and awe in finance and war coincide in an unprecedented way.. https://t.co…

The reality of combat changed the calculus in the military logic of this situation. What will the reality of financial chaos on Monday in Russia do to the economic logic of this confrontation? Chartbook #88 on the logic of escalation. adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88… https://t.co/CSlUhp7uhG

We have entered into an escalatory spiral with Putin. Whatever are the details of the sanctions, on Monday we are certain to see a financial panic in Moscow. What might that mean for the next twist in the spiral? @samagreene @KadriLiik adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88… https://t.co/xrD3k2XWah

Sanctions and MAD: Will a financial panic in Moscow accelerate the "logic" of escalation? Chartbook #88 just dropped. Sign up here: adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-88… https://t.co/5Gj0AJ17ku

RT @olliecarroll: Signs of cracks in Russian elite. First Fridman, then Deripaska. Now Anatoly Chubais has just posted picture of Boris Nem…

RT @b_judah: Anti-war sentiment is high amongst many of Russia’s leading foreign policy scholars like @usv1980 speaking out here with consi…