ADAM TOOZE

To put Germany’s announcement of a ban on arms exports to Saudi in perspective, its sales are a fraction of those o… https://t.co/PkEYBjdHDo

@LBiniSmaghi HI @LBiniSmaghi a pleasure to be in touch with you. Agree about pro-cyclicality. Do you think that has… https://t.co/CLvFxcAocV

Hi @Brad_Setser in this graph on trump trade policy do I take it that the “contribution” from the import side is ac… https://t.co/7Hpfws5KB2

“You’re more likely to achieve the American Dream if you live in Denmark” https://t.co/3Lo4GAUokx

Cannot repeat this point too often: Italy’s fiscal stance since the start of the euro has been consistently tougher… https://t.co/nZOPAnNkDx

"the creation of several buffer states btw Germany & Austria-Hungary would be desirable as a means of relieving the… https://t.co/fN6MYvLdZ4

Italy’s public spending when compared to EU average is horribly skewed towards pensions and away from education.… https://t.co/elcAWrXPtV

In 1914 Kaiser’s Germany sponsored jihad and anti-imperial insurrection. Doing justice to this campaign is key to p… https://t.co/wSIH2HDTcr

Why did US Treasury miss opportunity in QE-era to lock in low rates? 2/3 of debt is of maturity of 5 years or less.… https://t.co/SlXCMjVKq4

In 2016/7 Saudi Arabia saw large capital outflow. With oil prices rising money is coming back. But it could reverse. https://t.co/K0kTrXYpvX

1961 was a challenging year for West Germany: April Eichmann trial, August Berlin Wall, November Fritz Fischer 1914… https://t.co/0TB2KFFcap

Griff Nach der Weltmacht – Bid for World Power – Fritz Fischer’s provocative title could easily be conflated with W… https://t.co/vjRTX04yPR

Cumulative probability of a recession in the next 3 years is currently 40% which puts us at a similar level as in 2… https://t.co/O5CGX59gnK

Fed tightening of monetary policy is by far the most common trigger of postwar recessions. @SoberLook… https://t.co/F7jvhtNc1L

I learn from Colin Kidd's review of Robert Saunders's book in the @LRB that during the 1975 EEC referendum campaig… https://t.co/OmXIzcCSdO

@adam_tooze Most EMs have a positive link between growth and the credit impulse, i.e. all countries to the right of… https://t.co/ooxJQ5dhNU

@adam_tooze Looking across EM, Turkey stands out for the exogenous nature — and severity — of the credit shock. T… https://t.co/JUIwdxyvH1

Italy’s fiscal problems are NOT down to deficits over the last ten year. France’s deficits have been larger. The pr… https://t.co/ssfZ0fhoBp

Btw 1929 and the late 1970s there was rapid regional convergence across the US national economy, since then it has… https://t.co/9UPcA60EaQ

1985-1995 was the golden age of retirement in the US. 90% of the population were out of the labour force by the age… https://t.co/2DmQrZulhq

The concentration of the digital economy in favored urban areas has compounded economic divergence in the US.… https://t.co/yvDvDWOsGL

If America’s home ownership rate has fallen since the 2007-8 crisis it is due to bottom 90% of wealth distribution… https://t.co/ONV3H0yv5i

The decline in productivity across large parts of the US “heartland” are striking and cannot be explained by refere… https://t.co/LZVgG55jCZ

Wealth disparity and the crisis: Fed data shows all segments of American society losing median wealth 2007-2016, ot… https://t.co/ervVwzaBsm

Cumulative aggregate growth rate of jobs across the “heartland” varies enormously at the local level. The hotspots… https://t.co/QySI6ViT4f

@DuncanWeldon this is fantastic. this is going straight into war in germany!

And (not from the paper), the most interesting bit of Trafalgar isn’t the battle. It’s the chase before. Across the… https://t.co/tARyRblSoy

As @RobinBrooksIIF points out Turkey’s credit shock is truly exogenous and thus predictive of a fall in economic ac… https://t.co/rH8QRHZlAK

Making a very interesting point about the development of credit in China right now. It is endogenous … h/t… https://t.co/wBMGYI9eVP

Will leveraged loans bring the house down? @colbyLsmith reviews the worries of IMF, BofE, Fed and the IMF.… https://t.co/hVOalODgef

This really is a discussion between Michel Foucault and Raymond Aron about the Order of Things and how to write th… https://t.co/5rcCuQ1Wm2

"For an economy as stagnant as that of Italy, a short-term growth boost is not to be scoffed at.” Rome’s assumption… https://t.co/JTBlz0Tw0X

Three of five are in Europe, of these two in the EU. This is not a tropical island problem. https://t.co/Jgmh6fcDwi

"the microeconomic aspects of the budget are worse than the macroeconomics” With debt service costs down what matte… https://t.co/TMEfaz6fPu