ADAM TOOZE

Xi's announcement that China is aiming for max CO2 < 2030 and neutrality by 2060 may turn out to be a world historic turning point. foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/xi-… How does it sit alongside other recent Beijing moves? E.g. Hong Kong… A short thread …

@sortofhere @ForeignPolicy Hi. I dont see these as incompatible. Climate announcement is not about being “nice, because Green". More plausible to see it as a dramatic power move. Flanking HK by undercutting opposition from EU.

As we digest the implications of Xi’s commitment to make China carbon neutral by 2060 can we redo @jasonhickel calculations on responsibility for climate breakdown? Lets assume China has now staked its claim to a C02 budget … foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/xi-… thelancet.com/journals/lanpl… https://t.co/3JJizf5BW3

@MuellerTadzio @SchickGerhard @doublingtime Will be fun. I count on you @SchickGerhard

@NatBullard @ForeignPolicy @EIAgov And that small matter of land use … Cited mainly on account of population to indicate that hidden in that “ROW” box is a G30 problem.

@IngmarVon @APHClarkson Yeah … Point of piece is that Xi can make more credible commitment than US and is plausible partner for EU, which, you might say, is NOT setting a very high bar. Plus I explicitly acknowledge huge internal challenges! I invoke 1990s shakeout in China as benchmark.

With Xi declaration of 22 Sep 2020 China has staked its historic claim to CO2 real estate. Max < 2030. Neutral by 2060. So where does that leave big upandcoming EM? I mentioned India in the @ForeignPolicy piece. But what about Indonesia, Nigeria, Brazil? foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/xi-… https://t.co/VPcJkxi4VQ

@MuellerTadzio @SchickGerhard @doublingtime Die prägenden Jahre meiner Jugend in Heidelberg anschliessend ab (Juni) 1989 in Berlin (West) … Wessiebiographie – with a difference.

As we digest the implications of Xi’s commitment to make China carbon neutral by 2060 … Can we redo @jasonhickel calculations on responsibility for climate breakdown. China has now told us approx how much CO2 it wants to emit. foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/xi-… static1.squarespace.com/static/59bc0e6… https://t.co/ZjhZsG99O0

@doublingtime @JKSteinberger Lets just say that with regard to twitter I invoke my own Glück Der Späten Geburt. If I’d been into this medium at earlier stages in life … if it had been around. I hate to think.

RT @doublingtime: On that note, this seems to be popular @adam_tooze 👇🏿—thanks (to you & @JKSteinberger & all) for yr kind words! I hope no…

@MuellerTadzio @SchickGerhard Oh mit Freude. Das thread zum Systemwechsel das @doublingtime gerade retweetet war hard-hitting aber genial. Sehr zum Punkt. And the feelings re @SchickGerhard are of course mutual.

RT @alexwagner: In 2013, a Democratic president invited an 80 year-old, two-time cancer survivor, Supreme Court justice to lunch to convey…

RT @bhbradlow: Is the GND movement ready for a political reality in which the US is not the central player? Worth serious reflection. https…

@MaxJerneck Yeah … you may be right that that is a bit of exaggeration for effect. In trying to capture the shift in the center of gravity I sometimes go overboard.

RT @ForeignPolicy: With two short sentences, China’s leader may have redefined the future prospects for humanity, writes FP's @adam_tooze.…

RT @Jmhaas: @adam_tooze @bentleyballan @70sBachchan @policytensor We don't know in detail what the EU offered during the recent summit, but…

RT @ArjanDevDebate: @adam_tooze Momentous indeed, thank you for this piece. It’s be great to hear more about how the huge divestment from o…

RT @Jmhaas: Absolutely must read re the new Geopolitics of climate by @adam_tooze foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/xi-… @christophbals @LutzWeischer @cli…

It may seem hyperbolic to ask this question, but was it at this moment on 22 September 2020, by way of this video link that a large part of our collective future was suddenly sketched out? China climate neutral by 2060. foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/xi-… https://t.co/1SRPzYA83n

RT @EmilyJonesBSG: Fascinating analysis by @adam_tooze on China’s landmark climate move “China’s new commitment will by itself lower the p…

@jerometenk I agree it is a fascinating and world historic balancing act! And the proof of the pudding …

RT @joethw8s: Good piece on the geopolitical importance of China's carbon neutrality commitment, and what it means for the US, EU and India…

Even without COP26 the global political economy of climate has taken a dramatic turn this year. Charted in 3 pieces: socialeurope.eu/the-fierce-urg… foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/15/cli… foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/xi-… H/T to conversations with: @bentleyballan @70sBachchan @policytensor @Jmhaas https://t.co/jb73smmlTQ

“Long-term progress really depends on a bipartisan approach that will survive the swings,” Admiral Blair of @Securing_Energy argues that for US to catch China in EV requires it to be treated “as a national security issue, which is bipartisan”. ft.com/content/8894c9… https://t.co/VeKZendT0X

"As Xi made clear on Sept. 22, as far as the most important collective issue facing humanity is concerned, the major players are no longer waiting. The era in which the USA was the decisive voice has passed. China and Europe are decoupling." foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/xi-… https://t.co/XLZRkqmkzZ

RT @RichPuchalsky: Good article — the major decisions on climate change are not going to be made by the US but by China and to a lesser ex…

Denmark’s Orsted and Finnish Neste show how diversifying out of fossil fuels pays off in share price .. eventually. ft.com/content/ea45ca… https://t.co/1ljNQax8Zd

How Xi Changes Everything: On the geopolitics of Xi’s carbon neutrality announcement for @ForeignPolicy foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/25/htt… https://t.co/vDtHDlGL3I

"Trading in onshore bonds of China Evergrande, the world’s most indebted developer, was halted after reports it was seeking government help to stave off a cash crunch caused the price of its shares and debt to tumble.” Its total debt comes to $120bn! ft.com/content/f655ba… https://t.co/E1ZWCZF6Re

RT @TheStalwart: The improvement in jobless claims has come to a halt. 870K last week, which is up from 866K in the prior week, and worse…

RT @MaxCRoser: If we want cheap and reliable renewable energy we need to invest into the research and development of these energy sources.…

Latin America’s share of global COVID deaths has fallen below 40% for first time since the spring. India is surging. ft.com/content/a2901c… https://t.co/dAp8h6yPwz

@doirme @alpinemacro @SoberLook Allow a large margin for error and the story is the same.

To make good on Xi’s pledge of carbon neutrality by 2060, "investment in China’s power sector alone increases by $4tn (today’s prices, non-discounted) over the 40 years. Millions of people currently work in the coal sector.” @CarbonBrief @HectorPollitt carbonbrief.org/analysis-going… https://t.co/IQIJ2WDPpM

Why New York’s in a Depression and Texas Isn’t The K-shaped recovery applies to geography too. Success/failure in dealing with pandemic is not enough to explain differences. It depends on a complex pattern of industries, urban v suburban etc. @conorsen bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… https://t.co/gFA9uI7DGu