ADAM TOOZE

Time for an Asimovian Psychohistory moment …. twitter.com/Peter_Turchin/…

RT @shaunwalker7: The United States calls on Côte d'Ivoire's leaders to show commitment to the democratic process and the rule of law… ht…

But America’s tragedy is that those assessments reflect real fears. All of this could be true and we would still be facing a crisis of legitimacy and huge dysfunction! @AdamBlickstein twitter.com/AdamBlickstein…

RT @7815PWK: Centrists are nostalgic for the kind of politics that created crisis & gave birth to monsters.

US 2020 is looking like the “maximum mess” scenario that may, briefly, have been displaced by “Blue Wave” fantasies, but was, in fact, widely anticipated and feared. twitter.com/JohnCassidy/st…

"Elections are meant to resolve differences. But whichever of Donald Trump or Joe Biden prevails in the presidential race — at this point too close to call — will inherit a country in which roughly half the electorate rejects his legitimacy.” @EdwardGLuce ft.com/content/2aca59… https://t.co/NQO8g4kH7F

RT @rortybomb: My pre-write of what to make of a rally in interest rates after it was clear there was united Democratic control – it antici…

3 reasons why 2020 election is bad news for US Econ according to @elerianm Political divisions 1. paralyze essential socio-econ reforms 2. Make coherent corona response less likely 3. Force reliance on Fed -> future instability & not just US at stake! ft.com/content/bad0c7… https://t.co/fnllguZ9S6

RT @DaveKeating: Unsurprisingly, an EU Commission spokesperson says they are not recognising Trump's claim of victory and are waiting for a…

RT @LizAnnSonders: Farmers have been receiving a lot of aid this year; total is expected to come to $37 billion … but increasingly large…

RT @AaronBack: So basically the market’s answer to everything is just Buy Tech

RT @wlwatts: 'The markets were prepared to absorb a clear victory by either of the two candidates — but the uncertainties associated with a…

After a night of shock, Biden’s chances of winning in US betting markets are back where they were 24 hours ago! c. 60%. But there is winning and there is winning …. twitter.com/smarkets/statu…

Do the events of night of Nov 3/4 add weight to the “US big tech is the new hedge”-hypothesis? NASDAQ futures surged on likelihood of a narrow Trump win whereas rest of S&P500 has no distinct trend. Unlike 2016 so far. ft.com/content/4cce59… https://t.co/PepHeCCq0X

How the blue wave crashed on the night of 3/4 Nov 2020: 10 year US Treasury yield surged and then gave up a week-long rally in a matter of minutes. ft.com/content/4cce59… https://t.co/FB464t9RQr

RT @RobinWigg: Capital Economics's chief US economist Paul Ashworth notes that "the widely-anticipated 'Blue Wave' appears to have flounder…

RT @heimbergecon: The EU recovery fund is a big step, but it's currently only a temporary instrument to avoid further macro divergence over…

RT @RobinBrooksIIF: We've been warning that a big risk-off is building in EM. Red flag was how weak inflows were after big outflows early i…

RT @MaxJerneck: Could this be the worst possible outcome? twitter.com/ryangrim/statu…

RT @heimbergecon: This could get ugly: The ECB may cut support (when it comes to buying government bonds) for countries that do not use the…

RT @Sustainable2050: Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, founder @PIK_Climate: "My problem with climate change is not exaggeration, but understateme…

RT @nguyenthevote: results from starr county, texas, the most latino county in the united states (96% latino) 2016: clinton+60 2020: biden…

RT @NBCNews: @chucktodd @Redistrict Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins her first bid for re-election in New York, NBC News projects. https:…

RT @fbermingham: Colleagues in Washington, Beijing, Hong Kong, Singapore, Jakarta, Bangkok and more are frantically tracking the election a…

RT @Birdyword: Roundup of what's happening in markets. Treasury yields down, but up from the lows Chinese yuan down, but up almost half…

RT @postdiscipline: @adam_tooze Let's see how bad the news is for Trump out of the Philadelphia suburbs and Philadelphia.

Bad News for Biden out of a key blue collar counties in Ohio on border to Pennsylvania. twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/stat…

Moderate and independent voters in the US are all over the ideological map. @leedrutman fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020… https://t.co/UWMCqXlojM

"Like just about everything in 2020, even the relatively objective state of the economy is partisan” @juruwolfe fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020… https://t.co/XFwUtC9WrV

Panellas looking good for Biden with 75% plus counted. twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ…

Control of drawing 132 congressional districts (30 percent of the House) is up in the air this election: @baseballot fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020… https://t.co/6qA6gm7uGI

Carter v. Reagan in 1980 is when the gender gap in female support for Democrats first opened up. @sidney_b fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020… https://t.co/GzARn5O4Jd

How Trump lost control of the corona narrative. First in March and then slowly over the early summer. @baseballot fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020… https://t.co/v6mmxA8F01

What if the Dems had nominated Sanders instead of Biden? Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape has continued to run Sanders-Trump head-to-head polling. Biden continues to outperform Sanders, but only by 2-3 points. @leedrutman fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020… https://t.co/IxH2RaW0Yj

RT @oysterFAKE: 1997's officially licensed "what if the stock market was a janky FPS arena" game: Forbes: Corporate Warrior https://t.co/lU…

China’s credit stimulus to meet 2020 is real, but far smaller than the "desperate splurge of lending that tided China through its 2015-16 crisis, when a botched devaluation briefly shook confidence around the world:” @johnauthers bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… https://t.co/5Sn6alWxws