November 4, 2020
RT @mcopelov: Some comparative perspective is helpful here. It's not that the US is fundamentally different in terms of the political orien…
RT @mcopelov: Some comparative perspective is helpful here. It's not that the US is fundamentally different in terms of the political orien…
RT @johnauthers: This is how the presidential odds have moved since yesterday afternoon on the Smarkets betting market. With the way Wiscon…
RT @BloodPhilip: A pleasing discovery – more Kriegsloks constructed during the war than Tiger and Panther tanks. https://t.co/07VYTfx9NI
I know all eyes are either glazed or glued on the presidential, but the situation of state-level budgets and public services is going to be key whoever comes next. A WH-Congress stand-off will be disastrous. wsj.com/articles/u-s-s… https://t.co/Pk1o2qhB54
Ive got multiple computers running on high speed internet but sixty years on, the vibe is very much this: "Citizens gathered around the TV set to follow the tense JFK-Nixon returns in 1960” nymag.com/intelligencer/… https://t.co/Vg086LJQBE
4 November 2020. We dont know who is US president but we do know that the US just left the Paris climate accord. twitter.com/AP_Europe/stat…
Hi @johnauthers is this a story about 1st differences i.e. VIX surges as the Blue Wave narrative crashes. Then, once we have digested that disappointment and realize that this is the mess that was widely predicted i.e. narrow Dem win not Senate, it is back to SNAFU & the Fed put? twitter.com/johnauthers/st…
When we try to link electoral outcomes in 2020 to the economic backdrop, the complexities are going to be huge varying by sector, Dem/Rep narratives & arguments in terms of levels v. rates of change. E.g. US motor vehicle production. @SoberLook https://t.co/wj0uM9cNoa
RT @jqlngu: The data in this story has blown up among certain groups on twitter, taken out of context and twisted to fit a cherry-picked na…
@sdonnan Oh I feel your pain. Did a podcast in that theme at 11pm last night I’m German …. omg!!!!!!!
RT @heimbergecon: High Italian public debt is primarily a legacy from increasing interest payments in 1980s. Primary surpluses over the las…
The collapse of blue wave has dented industrial metals … copper/aluminium prices down as hopes of transformational Green New Deal/Energy transition policy fade. ft.com/content/c7d057… https://t.co/PwY8Ofj8rN
To familiar headache types 2020 has added: “the Florida”, “the red mirage” and the “lockdown”. H/t @SoberLook https://t.co/LO7KxphDND
Imagine if the US had a PR system like Germany. 5 parties from Green (AOC) to Nationalist (Trump). This is how they might breakdown by generational cohort. @EchelonInsights via @SoberLook https://t.co/0evHnIukOn
What if the US were a multi-party system. This division debatable. Biden for Labor? Reagan back from the dead? Anyone got any better maps? @EchelonInsights via @SoberLook https://t.co/yxuvumzl2N
Even with a Biden win, the impending fiscal deadlock is disastrous: Hard-hit states like New York are facing a $59bn fiscal catastrophe. wsj.com/articles/new-y… https://t.co/QssLbvoh02
RT @i_aldasoro: Interesting presentation, echoing a number of BIS pieces twitter.com/pmehrling/stat…
Placing the corona shock in Brazil in context. The good times ended in 2014. The surge in 2020 is from an already elevated plateau of unemployment. @SoberLook https://t.co/D18c4fr53w
Peak covid unemployment in Chile is easing. But it remains a catastrophe. And official date capture only formal employment. @SoberLook https://t.co/84JSWAYPYK
"socialist, socialist, socialist": How Trump turned Miami purple: "it’s not just with Cubans — his campaign made a concerted effort to target Venezuelans and Nicaraguans, who fled countries with leftist regimes, as well as conservative Colombians.” politico.com/news/2020/11/0… https://t.co/X051rDXFgi
U.S. Flails in Election Toss-Up While China Flexes Economic Grip: Whilst Xi flexes his muscles in Shanghai the US faces political crisis. @endacurran bloomberg.com/news/newslette… https://t.co/1Dnferdh53
2020: Pandemic sets off a scramble to snap up outdoor heaters ft.com/content/a5cd89… https://t.co/tU5wwNSE40
"The GOP is Trumpian for the foreseeable future. Josh Hawley, the Missouri senator who has 2024 presidential aspirations sees its future as “working class”. The American people have spoken. And it is a cacophonous noise.” @EdwardGLuce @alex_callinicos ft.com/content/2aca59… https://t.co/OLbLiznlMN
In other news, Ethiopia, Africa’s 2nd largest country, on brink of civil war as prime minister sends troops to quell rebellion in Tigray. Decision follows alleged attack by regional government’s armed forces on federal army base ft.com/content/261ada… https://t.co/1cAWZT54hz
RT @GoodwinMJ: We set up incredibly simplistic narratives about poor, uneducated, old white men going Trump Trump vote in exit poll White…
RT @HayekAndKeynes: Still trying to make sense of the NASDAQ move. Is this a relief rally as they avoid a blue wave tax hike? Avoiding the…
RT @MarkVinPaul: A Biden win w/out taking the Senate is a real possibility. What does it mean for the climate? Lots can be done via agency…
Entirely agree with @alex_callinicos and @socialistworker on this! 🙂 twitter.com/socialistworke…
RT @NateSilver538: Just want to leave this here as an historical artifact of the mood right now because if you're following closely, the qu…
RT @USPoliticsPoll: BREAKING: Joe Biden has surpassed Barack Obama’s 2008 popular vote total, breaking the record for most votes ever recei…
RT @reidepstein: Green Bay's absentee ballot results are being delayed because one of the vote-counting machines ran out of ink and an elec…
RT @Schuldensuehner: Markets may be repricing Biden with a "red mirage" where mail-in ballots are counted later. Michigan is up for grabs f…
RT @LukeFrancis88: There is a tank outside Parliament, demanding gyms are kept open during lockdown. It’s 11.30am and it’s not the strange…
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