March 21, 2022
@BuddyYakov @alexapo1980 @APHClarkson @Borners1 @WorldBank The tertiary/higher education numbers for Ukraine are really dramatic!
@BuddyYakov @alexapo1980 @APHClarkson @Borners1 @WorldBank The tertiary/higher education numbers for Ukraine are really dramatic!
@APHClarkson @alexapo1980 @Borners1 @WorldBank That is exactly what I was thinking as I read your earlier tweet. Very instructive to think of this in terms of that kind of oligarchic state-building process. Have you or has someone else laid this out in these terms?
@JeremyCliffe Not big enough to really explain it, at least according to prewar estimates.
First UAE abstains on Russia vote in UN. Now it welcomes Assad. Washington not best pleased. Or at least professing to be not best pleased. twitter.com/thehill/status…
German economy minister Robert Habeck, left, and the Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani in Doha on Sunday clinching long-term Ger-Qatar LNG supply deal. ft.com/content/119251… https://t.co/1Kb6RbZTXU
@Borners1 @APHClarkson @WorldBank Oh thanks … unfortunately my security filter does not like the link 🙁
@JeremyCliffe Point taken, but to me the bamboozling thing is the lack of measured PPP-GDP growth. Trivial in larger scheme of things, but clearly economic analysis was failing to capture something very important.
@jfkirkegaard @JeremyCliffe @Mij_Europe Hi Jacob, interested to have your take on Italy’s energy choices since 1990s (the other big heavily Russia-dependent west European). Doesn’t that qualify the Alleinschuld of Germany and its Ostpolitik?
@alexapo1980 @APHClarkson @Borners1 @WorldBank But what we are apparently dealing with here is considerable technological development going hand in hand with little or no measured growth. Odd, unless you presuppose that Ukraine was on the brink of an acceleration of some kind.
@alexapo1980 @APHClarkson @Borners1 @WorldBank The two are not identical, for sure. But for them to be radically uncoupled would be VERY surprising indeed. GDP is imprecise but VERY highly correlated with all sorts of other stuff.
@Borners1 @APHClarkson @WorldBank Fascinating. Can you point me to something I can read on this tax revenue issue?
@JeremyCliffe @Mij_Europe I like that framing @JeremyCliffe but, up to this point Scholz never actually had to have courage of his own convictions because he was always in tandem with Merkel. How responsive is "Scholzianism unchained"?
@APHClarkson @Borners1 @WorldBank Ok. But for all that to be going on with SO little showing up in measured GDP Is nevertheless remarkable.
@Borners1 @APHClarkson There are questions about the level of the @WorldBank PPP GDP numbers relative to 1989. The level relative to other countries (Poland v. Sri Lanka). And the growth rate or rather the lack of growth in Ukrainian numbers. Obs PPP Is always tricky.
@Borners1 @APHClarkson Ive been puzzling over this since the war has taken the, to me, surprising turn that it has. Are the @WorldBank PPP GDP numbers for Ukraine wrong is some basic way? The relativities to Asia do seem badly out of wack. But relative to Poland?
Were the 1970s really that bad for stocks asks Nicholas Colas of DataTrek Research? The inflation/slow growth phases were fine on balance. It was the 1973-4 recession that did the real damage to markets. H/t @johnauthers bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… https://t.co/sO3Dszw3hP
RT @IrvingSwisher: Campaigns for demand reduction can verge on sanctimony, but at least until crude oil supply and crude oil demand have so…
RT @DuncanWeldon: This is, predictably, excellent. twitter.com/phillipspobrie…
RT @PhillipsPOBrien: In particular the side launching the war normally unleashes a disaster on itself and a humanitarian catastrophe on oth…
RT @PhillipsPOBrien: Think I need to update this thread as some have intimated my research is about doing war better. Actually, as I hope I…
RT @AlexNicest: 314/ Nabiullina says there is enough food in Russia. Extraordinary that the head of the central bank is giving these assura…
RT @elinaribakova: Minus 15 years of economic growth in Russia in just a few weeks and counting. We expect a contraction of -15% in 2022, d…
RT @DrEricDing: 3) It is “no time at all to declare victory, because this virus has fooled us before and we really must be prepared for the…
RT @_HannahRitchie: For wheat, there is less potential for displacement from biofuels. Especially if the world was to limit exports from Ru…
RT @_HannahRitchie: Many people could face hunger this year as a result of rising food prices, and reduced exports from Ukraine & Russia.…
RT @schieritz: Ich war nicht überzeugt, ob die Kosten eines vollständigen Energiembargos angesichts des unklaren Nutzens gerechtfertigt sin…
RT @KevinRothrock: Kamran Manafly, a 28-yr-old geography teacher in Moscow, rejected new guidelines on lecturing to his students about the…
RT @lieven_anatol: This is an exceptionally important piece warning of the consequences of the Ukraine war and sanctions for global food pr…
RT @DeborahACohen: Their "flaws energized their accomplishments" — a perfect description of the Last Call crew from @Edsquire https://t.c…
RT @Dcpcooks: The most current chart book is a really good read. Subscribe to Chartbook, by @adam_tooze adamtooze.substack.com/?r=5cyoz&s=r&u…
Soft landing in heavy weather – The Fed's no drama policy. Chartbook #102 just dropped. adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-10…
RT @astanley711: A thoughtful review of @DeborahACohen’s “effervescent” new book!! It’s about Viennese cafes, psychoanalysis, deadlines,…
RT @tashecon: 4/ And let’s not forget here that Russia has imposed a devastating cost/loss on the Ukrainian economy, likely hundreds of bil…
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