Imagine worst case in China. All unserviceable LGFV and SOE debts end up piled on their local gov backstops.-> debt

Imagine worst case in China. All unserviceable LGFV and SOE debts end up piled on their local gov backstops.-> debt of 65% of GDP -> vast majority would be on provinces with debt/revenue of > 400% -> central government would have to step in.
imf.org/en/Publication… https://t.co/JsAuAgmofK

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