Thank you @NateSilver538
The political culture of the market itself was the aspect I thought was missing from @johnauthers discussion of gap between polls and prediction markets here:
bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
There are models of political change at stake. twitter.com/NateSilver538/…
If you, comfortably situated/securely employed, are ever tempted to wonder whether all that stimulus is “really” necessary, look at these
March 6, 2021
If you, comfortably situated/securely employed, are ever tempted to wonder whether all that stimulus is “really” necessary, look at these numbers for US labour market